Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 74.194571 83.389226 92.820948 103.188205 114.233354 125.620133 138.217495
2025-01-12 59.151727 72.202780 86.227040 102.291337 120.061715 139.005360 160.614916
2025-01-19 48.903180 63.765908 80.324420 99.879572 122.095778 146.325773 174.529521
2025-01-26 44.494430 61.174877 80.293121 103.398591 130.165766 159.838395 194.866700
2025-02-02 40.485686 58.505043 79.704814 105.859871 136.679472 171.321860 212.701592
2025-02-09 35.372876 53.966239 76.460874 104.813166 138.801458 177.535154 224.337009
2025-02-16 31.003937 49.936484 73.476693 103.755556 140.637148 183.198090 235.157285
2025-02-23 28.084294 47.505177 72.245145 104.628939 144.608828 191.227205 248.622093
2025-03-02 25.113967 44.735823 70.367661 104.516469 147.240337 197.565491 260.029666
2025-03-09 22.789831 42.648969 69.208046 105.166654 150.694135 204.803385 272.442796
2025-03-16 20.045719 39.718943 66.741180 103.984082 151.751390 209.068603 281.258784
2025-03-23 18.506440 38.423379 66.372750 105.434005 156.034399 217.194119 294.660824
2025-03-30 17.208837 37.415924 66.367954 107.369320 160.979549 226.214721 309.273875
2025-04-06 15.118662 34.980751 64.230956 106.367327 162.115989 230.528312 318.197291
2025-04-13 12.842136 32.000876 61.130907 103.909918 161.253478 232.274699 323.925085
2025-04-20 12.410764 32.088033 62.475678 107.512325 168.253205 243.804532 341.615079
2025-04-27 11.736407 31.686751 63.055426 110.032996 173.830101 253.563139 357.157502
2025-05-04 10.253298 29.685332 61.120279 108.961187 174.617205 257.267939 365.231106
2025-05-11 8.917492 27.795972 59.242332 107.878172 175.319346 260.816025 373.077288
2025-05-18 8.119743 26.853228 58.780935 108.772547 178.635419 267.667121 385.019526
2025-05-25 7.196044 25.543467 57.659957 108.657378 180.552492 272.710467 394.701277
2025-06-01 6.497861 24.616547 57.102031 109.323153 183.502725 279.066018 406.023734
2025-06-08 5.549917 23.003734 55.320444 108.112197 183.837919 282.018997 413.056268